“The Dick Davis
Dividend” - Excerpts from the Book
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Confused Is Better
than Certain (Pages 21 - 22)
One of this
book’s fresh approaches is its insistence on telling both sides of
the story. Even in instances where I hold strong opinions, I
include the opposite viewpoint. It’s a format well suited for a
debate but not for an investment book. Investors want clear
direction, not confusion....
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The Worst You Can Do
(Pages 141 - 142)
The worst
thing that can happen to a long-term investor is to be instantly
and totally informed about his stocks. Somewhere along the way the
information onslaught causes emotional decisions, one or more of
which are likely to be wrong. Your adviser, your broker, and your
favorite TV reporter all mean well by wanting to keep you
informed....
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The Burying of Ego
(Page 203)
In my 40 years
in Wall Street I cannot remember recommending a stock; I’m too
aware of the other side of the story and that I can be wrong. I’ve
been humbled by the accumulation of countless experiences where
the market did exactly the opposite of what I and everybody else
thought was a gimme. I am more than willing to bury my ego and
resist the pleasure of pontificating in exchange for not having to
feel guilty for giving bad advice. Over the years it has become
easy for me to do this as I grow increasingly aware of the
market’s randomness and my own fallibility.
Giving Advice to
Relatives — Tread Lightly (Pages 205 - 206)
There are few
things that give us more pleasure than helping those who mean the
most to us. There may be times when you are so convinced that the
stock or fund you are buying or own is a surefire winner, that you
have an uncontrollable urge to let your loved ones in on it. It’s
an act of genuine caring that will make them money and, in the
process, make you look good. Everyone benefits.
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Finding the Right
Broker (Pages 216 - 217)
Soliciting
referrals from savvy investor friends (who may or may not be
totally objective) is a logical place to start. Or you can call
the broker’s office and ask the operator or any sales assistant
for the name of the broker who’s been in the business the longest
(minimum requirement for me would be 10 years; 20 years would be
better). Then I'd ask that broker what’s a good time to call back
so I can ask some questions preparatory to opening a new
account....
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Studying Tobias or
Inventory Turnover—It’s a No-Brainer
(Pages 431 - 432)
If my premise
is correct that most of us are unable to understand and analyze
financial data, much less predict how the market will react to it,
then I suggest a different homework assignment. Read the great
investment books. The choice between devoting the three hours or
so it takes to read Andrew Tobias’s The Only Investment Guide
You’ll Ever Need (Harcourt, Inc., rev. 2005) or using the same
time to study stock-specific reports is a no-brainer....
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The Disconnect Between
Good News and a Bad Market (Page 451)
When the
market sells off sharply, it is frustrating to hear
analysts/brokers list all the bullish fundamentals, including a
healthy economy, and conclude the market is overreacting. While
stocks are plummeting, you’re told why they shouldn’t be. It is a
glaring example of the disconnect between the rational thinking of
the analyst, the irrational behavior of the market, and the
emotional response of the investor. With most steep declines, the
market is reacting to excessive evaluation and an uninterrupted
rise. The bloodbath will stop when the market decides it has
corrected the excesses sufficiently. The news cited as the trigger
is usually irrelevant. There is always news to blame—as, for
example, the big drop in the Chinese stock market that proceeded
the 416-point drop in the Dow on February 27, 2007. If not China,
it would have been something else. Why the market chose that day
to sell off, no one knows. Attempts by reporters to logically
explain the sudden slide reflect a lack of understanding of what
they’re dealing with.
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